207
FXUS65 KFGZ 101120
AFDFGZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
420 AM MST Tue Mar 10 2026
.SYNOPSIS...Lingering showers, maybe even a thunderstorms over
southern Navajo and Apache counties through late morning, otherwise
dry. Temperatures begin to warm considerably from Thursday onward.
&&
.DISCUSSION...A weakening upper low is quickly moving through
northern Mexico this morning, with pronounced subsidence now being
noted northwest of a Payson to Window Rock line. Moisture to the
north of the low will continue to produce rainfall over southern
Navajo and Apache counties through late morning, and maybe even a
thunderstorm once the sun comes up. However, by afternoon, most of
our CWA will be under a strengthening ridge.
The remainder of the forecast period features well above normal
hghts as a stunningly strong ridge takes over in the western United
States. Expect nothing but sunshine and well above normal
temperatures as a result.
&&
.AVIATION...Tuesday 10/12Z through Wednesday 11/12Z...Areas
MVFR with SHRA/CIGS and ISOLD -TSRA southern Navajo and Apache
counties through 18Z-20Z, otherwise VFR. Sfc winds becmg W15-25kts
through 02Z Wednesday, then light.
OUTLOOK...Wednesday 11/12Z through Friday 13/12Z...Expect VFR
conditions and generally light winds.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Tuesday and Wednesday...Scattered showers and
thunderstorms over southern Navajo and Apache counties through late
morning Tuesday, otherwise dry. Westerly winds 15 to 25 mph on
Tuesday, highest speeds north of I-40. Winds turn northerly
Wednesday, 5 to 15 mph.
Thursday through Saturday...Dry, temperatures rising to 10 to 20
degrees above normal. Light and variable winds Thursday, southwest
10 to 15 mph Friday and westerly 15 to 25 mph Saturday.
&&
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...Peterson
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson
For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff
NWS Flagstaff Office
Tucson, AZ 
