Tucson, AZ 
092 FXUS65 KFGZ 170800 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 100 AM MST Sat Jan 17 2026 .SYNOPSIS...A weak cold front drops temperatures a few degrees and brings locally breezy northeast winds today. Above normal temperatures return Sunday and remain for the first half of the week as a large area of high pressure dominating the West Coast moves back into the area. && .DISCUSSION...A weak cold front moving through this morning will bring a continued cool down today with temperatures dropping another 5 degrees from yesterdays highs. Winds will pick up out of the north-northeast 10-20 mph this afternoon with gusts 20-30 mph, especially in localized downslope locations. On Sunday high pressure over the Pacific begins to rebuild over the area bringing temperatures back up to 5-15 degrees above average with winds generally light and variable. Another dry shortwave riding down the east side of the ridge will back temperatures down a couple degrees Monday through Wednesday but highs remain 5-10 degrees above average. Still watching the extended to see if precipitation chances return next weekend, possibly as early as Friday afternoon. A lot of spread remains in the models so will have to keep monitoring until better model agreement comes into place. && .AVIATION...Saturday 17/06Z through Sunday 18/06Z...VFR conditions. Winds N/NE 5-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts, locally higher gusts along and downwind of the higher terrain overnight. OUTLOOK...Sunday 18/06Z through Tuesday 20/06Z...VFR conditions. Winds light and VRB on Sunday, becoming N/NE 5-10 kts on Monday. Locally Gusty NE winds downwind of the higher terrain through 15Z Sunday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Sunday...Cooler with temperatures close to average with dry conditions expected today. Warmer temperatures Sunday with afternoon highs rising back to 5 to 15 degrees above average. Winds N-NE 10-20 mph with gusts 20-30 mph today, remaining elevated overnight downslope of the Mogollon Rim. Winds become light and variable around 5-15 mph on Sunday. Minimum afternoon RH values between 15-25% each day. Monday through Wednesday...Warm and dry conditions continue with afternoon high temperatures remaining 5-10 degrees above average. Generally light and variable winds around 5-15 mph each day. Minimum afternoon RH values between 15-25% each day. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Bernhart AVIATION...Humphreys FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff
